KUALA LUMPUR – The ringgit is expected to endure more volatility next week amid uncertainties surrounding the market and ahead of Bank Negara Malaysia’s (BNM) monetary policy committee meeting on the overnight policy rate (OPR) on May 2 to 3.
Bank Muamalat Malaysia Bhd chief economist Mohd Afzanizam Abdul Rashid said it has been quite volatile for the currencies market this holiday-shortened week
The fall in the First Republic Bank share prices, the United States debt ceiling debate as well as the US first quarter 2023 (Q1 2023) gross domestic product print, which grew slower than expected at 1.1% from 2.6% in the preceding quarter, has led the risk-off mode to seep in, he said.
He noted that the sharp decline in investment by 12.5% was the primary reason for slower growth, which coincides with the aggressive interest rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed).
Major central banks such as the Fed and the European Central Bank will reconvene to decide the policy rates next week.
“Should they push forward with the interest rate hike, it might lead to slower labour hiring as businesses would become mindful of the economic outlook and how it might affect their profitability.
“We believed there could be a chance that the Fed might become dovish in its economic assessment. In that case, the ringgit could post a slight appreciation next week, possibly around RM4.45.
“As for BNM, we foresee it might want to keep the OPR steady at 2.75% as heightened economic uncertainties warrant for a status quo in the policy rate,” he added.
On a week-on-week basis, the ringgit was traded lower against the US dollar at 4.4600/4645 against yesterday’s close of 4.4350/4395 a week earlier.
Meanwhile, the local note traded mostly lower against a basket of major currencies compared to a week earlier except for the Japanese yen.
The ringgit fell against the euro to 4.9011/9060 from 4.8616/8666, weakened against the British pound at 5.5558/5614 from 5.5127/5183, but went up vis-a-vis the Japanese yen to 3.2770/2805 from 3.2923/2958 a week earlier.
The ringgit also traded lower against its Asean counterparts.
The local note depreciated against the Indonesian rupiah to 303.9/304.3 from 296.4/297.1 previously, decreased vis-a-vis the Philippine peso to 8.05/8.06 from 7.91/7.93 and slipped against the Thai baht to 13.0612/0801 from 12.8947/9134 previously.
The ringgit was lower versus the Singapore dollar at 3.3351/3387 from 3.3256/3292 the previous week.
Next week will be another holiday-shortened week for Malaysia and markets will be closed on May 1, 2023 (Monday) and May 4, 2023 (Thursday) in conjunction with the Labour Day and Wesak Day holidays. – Bernama, April 29, 2023
