Malaysia

Early national polls not panacea to political uncertainty: analyst

GE15 turnout may differ from trends in recent state elections, academician warns

Updated 3 years ago · Published on 16 Sep 2022 9:00AM

Early national polls not panacea to political uncertainty: analyst
The country’s current political uncertainty will not be resolved by hastening the 15th general election before it is due next year, as no coalition appears to be strong enough to secure victory with a convincing margin, cautioned an academic. – The Vibes file pic, September 15, 2022

by Ian McIntyre

GEORGE TOWN – The country’s current political uncertainty will not be resolved by hastening the 15th general election (GE15) before it is due next year, as no coalition appears to be strong enough to secure victory with a convincing margin, cautioned an academician.

In making this assessment, Universiti Sains Malaysia’s (USM) Assoc Prof Azeem Fazwan Ahmad Farouk said one should not be misled by the victories experienced by Barisan Nasional (BN) and its allies at the recent state elections in Melaka, Johor, Sabah and Sarawak.

Despite the impressive strides they made, the crux of the matter is that these happened during the pandemic when voter turnout was historically low.

Azeem, who is director of USM’s Centre for Policy Research and International Studies, said voters had become turned off from going out to vote due to issues affecting the country, while also being dissuaded by the Covid-19 pandemic.

However, the stakes are different in a national election, and they may be more motivated to cast their ballots now, he said.

With the passing of legislation to ban party-hopping and the pandemic digressing into an endemic, more voters may be inclined to participate in polling.

The implementation of the Undi18 policy, which has lowered the minimum voting age from 21 to 18, is also a new factor for parties to reckon with, he added.

Azeem stressed that there has been a trust deficit among the public due to abuse of social media by parties more interested in championing their political survival rather than the nation’s well-being.

A large segment of Malaysians has lost trust in elected leaders, as politicians who run for seats are seen to be tainted in one way or another.

“In a bid to win votes, politicians have berated their competitors to a point where trust is lost,” said Azeem in an interview.

Assoc Prof Azeem Fazwan Ahmad Farouk, who is director of Universiti Sains Malaysia’s Centre for Policy Research and International Studies, says voters had become turned off from going out to vote due to issues affecting the country, while also being dissuaded by the Covid-19 pandemic. – IAN MCINTYRE/The Vibes pic, September 16, 2022
Assoc Prof Azeem Fazwan Ahmad Farouk, who is director of Universiti Sains Malaysia’s Centre for Policy Research and International Studies, says voters had become turned off from going out to vote due to issues affecting the country, while also being dissuaded by the Covid-19 pandemic. – IAN MCINTYRE/The Vibes pic, September 16, 2022

Economic impact of global incidents

Azeem also warned that in the coming months, the economy will be severely tested despite reports of continued growth.

“The global economy may impact us. The disruption to the supply chain continues unabated and our ringgit’s decline makes imports pricier,” he stressed.

While tourism has witnessed a rebound, Azeem said that this is due to people yearning to travel after the pent-up frustration of facing lockdowns for some two years.

Revenge tourism will compel people to spend, but the money will run out,” he said.

Stressing that Malaysia does not have time to change its situation, he said decisive actions are needed to counter the global impact of disruptions to the supply chain, inflation and overall rising living costs. 

Conflicts such as in the Middle East and Ukraine also bring about difficulties that impact us.

Then, there are the “unknowns” brought about by climate change, he said.

“The rate of natural disasters is high. We used to be spared from major disasters, but not anymore. 

“Look at the floods in Selangor and now the mudflows in Baling. These have caused the government to lose up to RM80 million in mitigating the crises of weather.”

Since 2018, the government’s fiscal budget is 80% focused on operational expenditure, while only 20% is devoted to development, he said.

“Time is no longer on our side. So, the next government will need support and sacrifices to ensure the country is geared up for the future challenges,” he said. – The Vibes, September 16, 2022

Related News

Malaysia / 2mth

Siti Kasim expresses gratitude after winning defamation suit, says it had no merit

Malaysia / 2y

BN raring to have second shot at Kemaman seat if election held: Zahid

Malaysia / 2y

Court quashes PAS MP’s GE15 victory in Kemaman

Malaysia / 3y

EC to discuss Kuala T’ganu by-election date on Tuesday

Malaysia / 3y

Is PAS admitting to graft in GE15 for Kuala T’ganu seat, asks Amanah

Malaysia / 3y

EC still waiting for official word on Kuala T’ganu seat: secretary

Spotlight

Malaysia

‘No such thing as Bangkok Move or Dubai Move’ – Ahmad Zahid

Malaysia

KSN: Rectify long waiting times, service challenges and workforce constraints at UMMC now

Malaysia

LGE trial: 4 to 5 meetings held before open tender bidding for road, undersea tunnel projects - witness

Malaysia

Najib marks 73rd birthday as legal battles continue from behind prison walls

Malaysia

Court orders police to probe foreign management institute

Malaysia

UMNO pushes back against Hamzah’s ‘PBN’ proposal, says BN-PN cooperation is not a new coalition

Malaysia

Form four student killed after car crosses into opposite lane in Setiu crash

World

France heatwave death toll rises to nearly 5,800 as extreme temperatures trigger record mortality

Culture

Penang: Three refurbished tourism attractions to be ‘reopened’ soon

By Ian McIntyre

You may be interested

Malaysia

LGE trial: 4 to 5 meetings held before open tender bidding for road, undersea tunnel projects - witness

Malaysia

Govt works on Budget 2027 as Anwar faces subsidy costs, fiscal pressures and living cost challenges

Malaysia

Zahid says PN-BN 'PBN' proposal must be formalised before talks can begin

By Alfian Z.M. Tahir

Malaysia

Unity Government’s record allows for greater cost-of-living relief - Anwar

Malaysia

Anwar: Malaysia to keep engaging US over 10% tariff as trade talks continue

Malaysia

Four terrace houses destroyed in Taiping fire, no casualties reported

Malaysia

Methane canisters, failed hydrants complicate extinguishing efforts at wholesale market fire

Malaysia

KBS studying possibility of Sepang replacing Bahrain as F1 host