Business

Global trade to continue recovery in 2021: Moody’s

Volume, however, not forecast to reach pre-pandemic levels before next year

Updated 5 years ago · Published on 07 May 2021 11:30PM

Global trade to continue recovery in 2021: Moody’s
Moody’s says it expects manufacturing activity and trade flows to benefit from continued Covid-19 vaccinations and policy measures this year. – Pixabay pic, May 7, 2021

ANKARA – Credit rating agency Moody’s late yesterday projected that global trade will continue recovering this year in the shadow of Covid-19, reported Anadolu Agency.

Global trade is expected to grow between 7% and 9% in 2021, following a 9% contraction in 2020, Moody’s said in a report, while highlighting that its volume will not reach the pre-pandemic levels before 2022.

The report said that continued Covid-19 vaccinations and policy measures will support the economic recovery, boosting manufacturing activity and trade flows. But the risk of new virus variants, a resurgence of infections and new restrictions persist.

The rating agency warned that geopolitical tensions, new sanctions and export controls, and domestic policy focus will complicate trade negotiations.

Supply-chain considerations will drive shifts in business strategies in strategic sectors, it noted.

While coronavirus-driven supply chain disruptions will subside as the global economy recovers, governments’ “buy national” strategies will add to disruptions in supply chains for medical supplies and strategic sectors.

“Companies will focus on multi-supplier, multi-source and reshoring strategies,” it explained. – Bernama, May 7, 2021

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