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Covid-19: Delta variant may be dominant in Europe by Aug, warns health agency

Strain 40% to 60% more transmissible than the original, may spread as restrictions relaxed, says ECDC

Updated 5 years ago · Published on 24 Jun 2021 11:59PM

Covid-19: Delta variant may be dominant in Europe by Aug, warns health agency
If measures, such as physical distancing, hand and respiratory hygiene and use of masks, are minimised, the rate of transmission of the Delta variant may rise, says the ECDC. – AFP pic, June 24, 2021

STOCKHOLM – The Delta variant of the Covid-19 virus is expected to soon account for nearly all new coronavirus infections in Europe, the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) said yesterday, the Xinhua news agency reported.

In its latest threat assessment report, the ECDC said that since the Delta variant, first detected in India, is 40% to 60% more transmissible than the original strain, it is projected to cause 70% of new infections in the European Union and the European Economic Area (EEA) by early August. By late August, this figure could reach 90%, it added.

The agency also warned that the number of new daily cases, hospitalisations and deaths, could increase to the autumn 2020 levels should non-pharmaceutical measures, such as physical distancing, hand and respiratory hygiene and use of masks, to minimise the rate of transmission be relaxed.

The ECDC said vaccination campaigns must be accelerated. Second Covid-19 vaccine doses should also be administered as early as possible, it added.

“Unfortunately, preliminary data shows that (the Delta strain) can also infect individuals who have received only one dose of the currently available vaccines,” ECDC director Andrea Ammon said.

“It is very likely that the Delta variant will circulate extensively during the summer, particularly among younger individuals who are not targeted for vaccination. This could cause a risk for the more vulnerable individuals to be infected. They could experience severe illness and death if they are not fully vaccinated,” she said.

Nevertheless, Ammon stressed that there is still hope.

“The good news is that having received two doses of any of the currently available vaccines provides high protection against this variant and its consequences. However, about 30% of individuals older than 80 years old and about 40% of individuals older than 60 years old have not yet received a full vaccination course in the EU,” said the director. – Bernama, June 24, 2021
 

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