CHINA said on Thursday it would immediately restrict imports of Hollywood films in retaliation for President Donald Trump's escalation of U.S. tariffs on imported Chinese goods, targeting one of the most high-profile American exports.
Reuters reported industry analysts saying the financial impact was likely to be minimal, however, because Hollywood's box office returns in China have declined significantly in recent years.
After three decades during which China imported 10 Hollywood movies per year, Beijing's National Film Administration said Trump's tariff actions would further sour domestic demand for U.S. cinema in China.
"We will follow market rules, respect the audience's choices, and moderately reduce the number of American films imported," the NFA said on its website.
Hollywood studios once looked to China, the world's second-largest film market, to help boost box office performance of movies. But domestic movies increasingly have outperformed Hollywood’s fare in China, with "Ne Zha 2" this year eclipsing Pixar's "Inside Out 2" to become the highest-grossing animated film of all time.
Chris Fenton, author of "Feeding the Dragon: Inside the Trillion Dollar Dilemma Facing Hollywood, the NBA, and American Business," said limiting U.S.-made films was a "super high-profile way to make a statement of retaliation with almost zero downside for China."
Hollywood films account for only 5% of overall box office receipts in China's market. And Hollywood studios receive only 25% of ticket sales in China, compared with double that in other markets, Fenton said.
"Such a high-profile punishment of Hollywood is an all-win motion of strength by Beijing that will surely be noticed by Washington," Fenton added.
Trump did not jump to Hollywood's defense. "I think I've heard of worse things," the president said when asked about China's restrictions.
Many Hollywood celebrities supported Trump's Democratic opponent in last year's election.
One entertainment industry source predicted that big Hollywood blockbusters, which continue to attract moviegoers in China, may still reach the big screen. Walt Disney's Marvel superhero movie "Thunderbolts," which kicks off the summer blockbuster season, recently received permission to debut in China on April 30.
It was not clear if China would approve the entry of other major releases this summer, such as Paramount's "Mission Impossible — The Final Reckoning," which may mark Tom Cruise's last appearance in the long-running franchise, Warner Bros' new "Superman" movie from "Guardians of the Galaxy" filmmaker James Gunn, and Marvel’s new take on "The Fantastic Four."
Limited Impact
IMAX said it expects the slate for its large-format screens, which includes Hollywood, Chinese and international films, would not be materially impacted by the restrictions.
"We continue to expect a strong year for IMAX in China, coming off our highest-grossing first quarter ever in the country," an IMAX spokesperson said in a statement to Reuters.
Seth Shafer, principal analyst at S&P Global Market Intelligence Kagan, predicted the restrictions would have limited impact.
"Only roughly 25% of domestic wide-release films are now released in China and that percentage has dropped steadily over time due to increasing competition from China’s local film production industry," Shafer said. "For domestic films that do get a release in China, typically less than 10% of the film’s global gross box office revenue comes from China."
"Captain America: Brave New World", a Marvel film released in February, took in US$14.4 million in China out of its US$413 million in global receipts.
In the past, imports including "Titanic" and "Avatar" became box office smashes in the Chinese market, making actors such as Leonardo DiCaprio and directors such as James Cameron household names among Chinese film lovers across generations.
Since 2020, Chinese-made films have consistently accounted for around 80% of annual box office revenue, up from around 60% previously.
On China's all-time box office list, only one imported film ranks in the top 20 - "Avengers: Endgame," with revenue of 4.25 billion yuan (US$579.83 million). The remaining films in the top 20 are all domestic productions. – April 11, 2025
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